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It was my understanding that there would be rampant fraud.

The markets are giving Biden more juice (predictit 64%, 538 89%), but the electoral spread is getting smaller. (290-305)

I bet on the following
AZ - Dems
Pres - Dems
SC - Graham
FL/TX/NC/KS/OH/IA - Reps

So far I'm up $30, plus $12 I realized earlier so $42.

BetFair - 35% Trump
538 - 89% Biden (347 electoral votes; 53-45% popular vote)
PredictIt - 38% Trump
DSQ - 85% Biden

I'm going to go ahead and lock in my prediction -
Biden wins: 305 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote. Trump gets like 232 and 46%. And, we know who won by end of Wednesday (bold)

NC/PA are the earliest states to watch. Followed by MI/WI/MN.

If Biden wins FL, GA, or OH - It's over for Trump. And probably the same for NC + PA if he wins both.

I think these betting sites are taking things more seriously this time. Biden still the overwhelming favorite, but no more of that 99% Hillary stuff.

This being 2020, are there odds for a contested election we can bet on?

TheCatt wrote: FL/TX/NC/KS/OH/IA - Rep.

Trump currently up 7% in IA.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 061937002/

TheCatt wrote: BetFair - 35% Trump
538 - 89% Biden (347 electoral votes; 53-45% popular vote)
PredictIt - 38% Trump
DSQ - 85% Biden

I'm going to go ahead and lock in my prediction -
Biden wins: 305 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote. Trump gets like 232 and 46%. And, we know who won by end of Wednesday (bold)

I feel less confident on my bold-Wednesday prediction. Feels more like a Friday, but I'm sticking to it. And same with the 305/51%.

I predict chaos.

So no one else making predictions? WEAKLINGS

TheCatt wrote: So no one else making predictions? WEAKLINGS

CHAOS!!!!!

I predicted long ago a trump win, bigger margin than last time.

But i.prefer not four more years of anger and angst, so hoping for a biden win.

I locked in $20 on KS senate race, and switched it to TX.

PredictIt, real-time markets, have Biden climbing a bit, Trump sagging a bit. Overall, and in NC, PA, and AZ.

Although, then I refresh, and NC is back to Trump, but basically 50/50

NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.

TheCatt wrote: NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.

Then back to 50-50.

Biden up to 66%, mostly mirroring what is happening in the PA market.

TheCatt wrote:

TheCatt wrote: NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.

Then back to 50-50.

Biden up to 66%, mostly mirroring what is happening in the PA market.

The real-time markets broke. Stupid website.

538's final prediction.

I disagree on - FL, NC and Georgia.

AZ + PA are the toss-ups.

TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia

NY TImes says they are all going red.

Leisher wrote:

TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia

NY TImes says they are all going red.

Fox news is worried about NC and Ohio.

Leisher wrote:

TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia

NY TImes says they are all going red.

I agree. Which means it's all about PA + AZ.

Troy wrote:

Leisher wrote:

TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia

NY TImes says they are all going red.

Fox news is worried about NC and Ohio.

That would be yuge.