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Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Tue Nov 15, 2022 11:12 am
by Leisher

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Tue Nov 15, 2022 11:19 am
by TheCatt
Leisher wrote: Tue Nov 15, 2022 11:12 am Household debt skyrocketing.
Gotta keep that economy going somehow.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sun Nov 20, 2022 9:58 pm
by TheCatt
Supply Chain nearly back to normal as consumer mix of goods and services also back to normalish.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Mon Nov 21, 2022 10:53 am
by Leisher
TheCatt wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 9:58 pm Supply Chain nearly back to normal as consumer mix of goods and services also back to normalish.
New rail strike looming.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:03 pm
by Leisher

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:10 pm
by TheCatt
They certainly need to.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:32 pm
by GORDON
I'm on the side of the workers, on this one. I know a couple railroad workers and the companies are fucking them over. The stories I hear, I almost wonder if the companies are trying to get some sort of bailout.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2022 1:27 pm
by Leisher

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2022 4:46 pm
by Leisher
I have been told by the train guys I work with that this is what's going to happen:
-Congress will stop the strike (they did today).
-The contract they'll be forced to use includes something about backdated pay. This is going to mean that all of these folks are going to get massive checks.
-Once those checks are gone, these folks are leaving. (They don't even get paid sick time...)
-Nobody will fill those jobs and the railroads won't bother looking, which is what they've been doing for a bit now.
-The railroads will then petition Congress to remove the safety rule that requires more than one engineer to run a train (get your mind out of the gutter), which is what the railroads have been after all along. Why? To increase their profits so they can show Wall St., of course. (Per the train guys, so I wish I was kidding, but here we are.)

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2022 4:49 pm
by Leisher

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Thu Dec 01, 2022 12:01 pm
by TheCatt
Inflation continues to ease. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/01/key-inf ... cted-.html

Key rate up 0.2% month over month. Job market also slowing.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Thu Dec 01, 2022 1:45 pm
by Leisher
TheCatt wrote: Thu Dec 01, 2022 12:01 pm Job market also slowing.
Yeah, I saw it's down to over 10M open jobs. (No typos there.)

I have no idea what the ideal is for that number.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 10:30 am
by Cakedaddy
I'm actually interviewing quality people and they are following through with follow up interviews, etc.

Reminder, for the last two years, I couldn't get anyone with any experience to respond to job listings. Those with experience worth talking to would never return phone calls or would disappear half way through the process.

Point is, I can feel the job market slowing since people are talking to me again.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 10:36 am
by Cakedaddy
I also don't get the "4 day work week was a success". My take away is, people have always been milking the clock and taking 5 days to do 4 days of work. The success here is finding the shitty workers who have been time stealing from the company! In 20 years, they will be doing a 3 day work week test and it will be a 'success'. Hell, you could probably do it in 6 months as people get used to the 4 day week and collectively slow down so that they are only doing 3 days of work in four days.

Revenue was up. . . could it be because we're dealing with 8% inflation? Everything is more expensive, so revenue is up? Maybe?

I haven't been following this story for long, but it stinks of the testers spinning the data so their hypothesis turns out to be correct.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 1:58 pm
by Leisher
Cakedaddy wrote: Sat Dec 03, 2022 10:36 am I also don't get the "4 day work week was a success".
It's 4 x 10, not 4 x 8. Point being, they're still putting in 40 hours.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 4:55 pm
by Cakedaddy
That helps. I read something about "they aren't working faster, which isn't sustainable" so I figured that meant 4, 8 hour days.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 8:26 pm
by TheCatt
Leisher wrote: Sat Dec 03, 2022 1:58 pm
Cakedaddy wrote: Sat Dec 03, 2022 10:36 am I also don't get the "4 day work week was a success".
It's 4 x 10, not 4 x 8. Point being, they're still putting in 40 hours.
Cakedaddy wrote: Sat Dec 03, 2022 4:55 pm That helps. I read something about "they aren't working faster, which isn't sustainable" so I figured that meant 4, 8 hour days.
Leisher didn't read the article he posted.
The main concern centered on whether a 20% cut to weekly working hours would lead to a drop in output, and cause clients to flee.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 8:54 pm
by GORDON
There needs to be an across-the-board rule. All industries, M-Th work week. No one is going to expect your offices to be open on the 3-day weekends, so there's no "fleeing" or confusion. You're not open on Fridays, but neither are you so cool. Workers will love it, the only people hating it are the C-suite and the peeps whose dividends will be 10% lower than usual.

We're at a point in our civilization where we don't need to be increasing productivity by double digits every year. On the contrary, it might actually be harmful. Imagine an overnight drop in 15% of our annual carbon output.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 9:04 pm
by TheCatt
GORDON wrote: Sat Dec 03, 2022 8:54 pm We're at a point in our civilization where we don't need to be increasing productivity by double digits every year
Good news! We don't. Probably never have.

Post-Corona Economy

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 9:51 pm
by GORDON
I knew you'd be the one nitpicking. I should have called it.