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Posted: Wed May 09, 2007 7:10 am
by TheCatt
Oh, and I wish people would get off this corn kick, cuz I haven't seen anything other than goverment subsidies that make it worthwhile.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 12:01 am
by Leisher
We've heard this before.

If they claim this every year, eventually they'll get it right.




Edited By Leisher on 1179893019

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 2:15 am
by GORDON
I couldn't find a year on that article. I read the same one this time last year.

Last year, one of the mildest hurricane seasons on record.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 8:00 am
by TheCatt
So two years ago they were right.
Last year they were wrong, due to an abnormal wind shear that developed off of the east coast that had not been forecast.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 9:04 am
by thibodeaux
Can we just all agree that the world has been going to hell for about the last 4billion years and just get on with our lives, please? kthx.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 12:39 pm
by Leisher
So two years ago they were right.
Last year they were wrong, due to an abnormal wind shear that developed off of the east coast that had not been forecast.


I was trying to dig up their predictions for two years ago and found this article which explains why hurricane predictions are just now becoming news items. Apparently, they have a new model that's much more accurate.

In 2005, they are correct in predicting a busy Gulf of Mexico hurricane season, but they predict incorrectly that Texas and West Florida will take the brunt of it with the Carolinas getting the rest.

Last year, they couldn't have been more wrong and blame an unexpected El Nino.

This year, they say it'll be an above average season, but they also describe their "out". If you read that article, they expect a La Nina to form which will make hurricanes worse. If it doesn't they still think it'll be above average.

So we'll see. Personally, I'm curious to see when they predict a lower than normal season and do it without outside factors such as another El Nino.

I'd also like to see someone at the NOAA acknowledge the studies that show hurricanes go in 40 year cycles in terms of frequency and strength.

I'd also like for someone to explain why "El Nino" is new to weather terminology, yet they seem to occur all the time.

If we're learning new things now then why isn't it possible that the Earth's temps are just going through a normal cycle? Why does it have to be an "end of the world" disaster?

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 1:19 pm
by Malcolm
Leisher wrote:If we're learning new things now then why isn't it possible that the Earth's temps are just going through a normal cycle? Why does it have to be an "end of the world" disaster?
Cos no one can sell t-shirts that say, "Same shit been going on for a while now."

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 1:20 pm
by TheCatt
Recent El NiƱos have occurred in 1986-1987, 1991-1992, 1993, 1994, 1997-1998, 2002-2003, and 2006-2007.

Most articles on the predictions last year mentioned the 20 years up, 20 years down thing. Haven't been reading them this year, we get our weather direct from professional mets.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 1:33 pm
by TPRJones
Leisher wrote:If we're learning new things now then why isn't it possible that the Earth's temps are just going through a normal cycle? Why does it have to be an "end of the world" disaster?
Because the end of the world sells more newspapers, gets gobs of government funding for whackjob "scientists", and gives the liberal chicken-littles something to run around screaming about now that the cold war is over, smoking is mostly illegal, and asbestos has been mostly erradicated.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 2:06 pm
by Leisher
Because the end of the world sells more newspapers, gets gobs of government funding for whackjob "scientists", and gives the liberal chicken-littles something to run around screaming about now that the cold war is over, smoking is mostly illegal, and asbestos has been mostly erradicated.


If this were Yahoo, I'd label this "Best Answer".

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 2:36 pm
by GORDON
TheCatt wrote:So two years ago they were right.
Last year they were wrong, due to an abnormal wind shear that developed off of the east coast that had not been forecast.
Right.

They are really accurate at predicting the weather, except for when "the weather" screws up their predictions.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 7:01 pm
by Vince
It's like how they are even blaming global warming for the colder than average late winter and early spring months we had this year. Global warming is making it cold.

Way to hedge your bets, dickwads.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 7:11 pm
by GORDON
Notice the action term slowly changing to "global climate change."

"Global warming" was too specific for the charlatans.

The best palm readers always make non-specific statements.

Posted: Wed May 23, 2007 9:24 pm
by Vince
"I'm seeing someone with an 'N' in their name..."