Bad Economic Predictions

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Leisher
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by Leisher »

Fair, but on a call with Dell on Thursday and the guy told me that price increases were absolutely on the way across the board.
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Leisher wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 4:42 pm Fair, but on a call with Dell on Thursday and the guy told me that price increases were absolutely on the way across the board.
Between AI + tariffs, sure.
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SATA coming off the board is not a nothing. It eliminates 1 of 3 types of SSD, and means motherboard manufacturers are now forced to make the change, which won't be free and could cause some short term shortages on that end. Sure, demand was down, but it wasn't nothing. In a vacuum, yes, this is a smaller thing, but with AI and global warming also driving up prices, it matters.
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Leisher wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 5:00 pm SATA coming off the board is not a nothing. It eliminates 1 of 3 types of SSD, and means motherboard manufacturers are now forced to make the change, which won't be free and could cause some short term shortages on that end. Sure, demand was down, but it wasn't nothing. In a vacuum, yes, this is a smaller thing, but with AI and global warming also driving up prices, it matters.
It's only Samsung not doing SATA. m2 was 43% of the market in 2024, must be more in 2025. Enterprise is abandoning SATA. Those are the best #s I could find. So SATA was already shrinking. Neither of the drives in my main laptop are SATA.
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Take Mitchell Boone, a 27-year-old Trump supporter. Five years after leaving a computer science program at the University of Missouri, and what he says are over 1,000 job applications later, Mr. Boone claims he has landed just a single job interview.
To be clear, Boone went to college (Missouri-Columbia) for 1 year, and then left. He didn't graduate.
“There are virtually no job openings,” said Emma MacCutcheon, 24, a recent graduate from the University of North Florida who studied psychology. “And when I do find jobs, every single one asks if I need a visa sponsorship.”
I think Emma is misconstruing this question. In my experience, it's a NEGATIVE, whereas she seems to think companies are looking for people who need sponsorship?

https://archive.is/vmBrr - The Young People Fixated on Who Gets to Work in America. For some Gen Z conservatives, H-1B visas are a hot new topic.
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Leisher
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Bad Economic Predictions

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TheCatt wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 5:07 pm Neither of the drives in my main laptop are SATA.
Ditto.
TheCatt wrote: Mon Dec 15, 2025 7:54 am H-1B visas are a hot new topic.
They should be.

Want to see blatantly racist hiring practices? Look at any company with an Indian CEO...
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
Leisher
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iRobot files for bankruptcy and will be taken over by its Chinese creditors.

Thanks Senator Warren!
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Leisher wrote: Mon Dec 15, 2025 10:09 am Thanks Senator Warren!
FTC decides these things, not Congress.
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Correct, but her and some of her colleagues encouraged the FTC to kill the deal.

It was dumb to kill the deal as it never would have affected competition. As pointed out, nobody else was making the damn things except the Chinese.

Speaking of, does anyone actually have one? Are they worth it?
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
TheCatt
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I have one, and it's... fine. Kinda loud, does an OK job at best. But if you can run it with no one else home, it's kinda nice.
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Job growth totaled a seasonally adjusted 64,000 for the month, better than the Dow Jones estimate for 45,000 and up from a sharp decline in October.

The unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, more than expected and its highest level since September 2021. A more encompassing measure that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons swelled to 8.7%, its peak going back to August 2021.

In addition to the November report, the BLS released an abbreviated October count that showed payrolls down 105,000. While there was no official estimate, Wall Street economists were largely expecting a decline following a surprise increase of 108,000 in September.
These numbers are bad.
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TheCatt wrote: Tue Dec 16, 2025 9:11 am These numbers are bad.
Get used to it. I don't know that we'll ever see job numbers go up again unless they're artificially inflated or we've started hiring for our colony on Mars.

I was curious about something today. Who gets counted in the overall unemployment level? (Not the jobs report.)

I saw unemployment is at 4.6%, but does that include all the illegals that aren't working? For example: 81% of Somalis here are unemployed. If we're counting them for House seats, they should count everywhere, right?
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Leisher wrote: Tue Dec 16, 2025 12:12 pm I saw unemployment is at 4.6%, but does that include all the illegals that aren't working? For example: 81% of Somalis here are unemployed. If we're counting them for House seats, they should count everywhere, right?
https://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_htgm.htm
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Leisher
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So yes.
"Happy slaves are the worst enemies of freedom." - Marie Von Ebner
"It was always the women, and above all the young ones, who were the most bigoted adherents of the Party, the swallowers of slogans, the amateur spies..." - Orwell
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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