Why not.
Battleground states (currently) - Florida, Arizona, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, Minnesota, Georgia.
If Biden wins FL, he would still need 1-2 of those other states.
If Trump wins FL, he still needs 4-5 of the other states.
Trump got 304 in 2016, and that seems to be his ceiling again in 2020. (270 to win)
You can play around with predictions here: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-El ... oref=promo
DTMan 2020 Predictions
DTMan 2020 Predictions
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Are we making our official presidential predictions and then revisiting this thread later to see who was right?
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Trump by a bigger margin than last time.
"Be bold, and mighty forces will come to your aid."
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I think Trump wins and we see more nights of riots in big cities as people start talking about seceding and eliminating the electoral college.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Yes, preferably with #s. We could even do 1 now, 1 in September, October, then night before election day type of thing.
Right now, I'm going to say Biden - 304.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
One month away from elections. Time to update. I guess I forgot September.
August - Biden - 304.
October - I'm upgrading Biden to 315.
Prediction market's guesses gives Biden 335
August - Biden - 304.
October - I'm upgrading Biden to 315.
Prediction market's guesses gives Biden 335
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I think Biden wins, but I think it'll be close. I don't think it will be the landslide people are predicting. They all remember the last election, right?
Had Trump died from C-19, I would have predicted Pence in a landslide.
Had Trump died from C-19, I would have predicted Pence in a landslide.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I think having c19 makes him looked weaker, to his base. It might lose him some.votes.
"Be bold, and mighty forces will come to your aid."
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Is anyone predicting a landslide? I've not seen anything. Like that except in the popular vote, which doesn't matter.
If trump had died, that would have been the end of the Republicans. No one gets excited about Pence.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Get on Twitter.
Sure, nobody is excited about Pence, but nobody is excited about Biden either. Biden voters are just excited to vote against Trump. I think a ton of people would not show up to vote, and a ton of people who were voting against Trump would vote against Biden for most of the same reasons they were voting against Trump.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Pence was Trump's beard, so he could appeal to Christian conservatives. The End. That's all he is. Moderates don't like him, the poor fired up Republicans don't care about him. They want Trump's fire.
I'm sure Someone is.
A lot of them. Trump is garbage.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Other men who think it's cool to sexually assault women?
Yep, and so is Biden, and Pelosi, and McConnell, and I've got hundreds more names I could type before stopping...
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
If you're a career politician, you're 99% guaranteed to be a garbage human being. Maybe it's just the job, but it's true.
Nobody on that list even knows what a typical American is anymore. How the fuck can they give a shit about them? They all put party before country.
Nobody on that list even knows what a typical American is anymore. How the fuck can they give a shit about them? They all put party before country.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
One thing that's weird is all the different models.
538 - 87-13 Biden
PredictIt - 65-40 Biden (yeah, it doesn't add up to 100, if we reduce it based on 105, we get) 62-38
Newstatesman - 88% Biden
538 - 87-13 Biden
PredictIt - 65-40 Biden (yeah, it doesn't add up to 100, if we reduce it based on 105, we get) 62-38
Newstatesman - 88% Biden
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
I think there's a 50/50 chance Biden wins easily and a 50/50 chance Trump wins again.
I think all the polls are meaningless at this point.
Pushing "shame" as a legit political tactic has clearly backfired as people will no longer admit their preferences.
I think all the polls are meaningless at this point.
Pushing "shame" as a legit political tactic has clearly backfired as people will no longer admit their preferences.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
DTMan 2020 Predictions
A better thing to predict might be "When will we know the winner?"
I'm going to say the next day.
I'm going to say the next day.
It's not me, it's someone else.
DTMan 2020 Predictions
Also, we could add state winners: Since these are the states that will determine the winner.
FL
GA
IA
NC
OH
TX
AZ
MI
NV
PA
WI
ME-2
NE-2
FL
GA
IA
NC
OH
TX
AZ
MI
NV
PA
WI
ME-2
NE-2
It's not me, it's someone else.