DTMan 2020 Predictions

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GORDON
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by GORDON »

It was my understanding that there would be rampant fraud.
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TheCatt
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

The markets are giving Biden more juice (predictit 64%, 538 89%), but the electoral spread is getting smaller. (290-305)

I bet on the following
AZ - Dems
Pres - Dems
SC - Graham
FL/TX/NC/KS/OH/IA - Reps

So far I'm up $30, plus $12 I realized earlier so $42.
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TheCatt
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

BetFair - 35% Trump
538 - 89% Biden (347 electoral votes; 53-45% popular vote)
PredictIt - 38% Trump
DSQ - 85% Biden

I'm going to go ahead and lock in my prediction -
Biden wins: 305 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote. Trump gets like 232 and 46%. And, we know who won by end of Wednesday (bold)

NC/PA are the earliest states to watch. Followed by MI/WI/MN.

If Biden wins FL, GA, or OH - It's over for Trump. And probably the same for NC + PA if he wins both.
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Leisher
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Post by Leisher »

I think these betting sites are taking things more seriously this time. Biden still the overwhelming favorite, but no more of that 99% Hillary stuff.

This being 2020, are there odds for a contested election we can bet on?
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
GORDON
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by GORDON »

TheCatt wrote: FL/TX/NC/KS/OH/IA - Rep.
Trump currently up 7% in IA.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 061937002/
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TheCatt
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

TheCatt wrote: BetFair - 35% Trump
538 - 89% Biden (347 electoral votes; 53-45% popular vote)
PredictIt - 38% Trump
DSQ - 85% Biden

I'm going to go ahead and lock in my prediction -
Biden wins: 305 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote. Trump gets like 232 and 46%. And, we know who won by end of Wednesday (bold)
I feel less confident on my bold-Wednesday prediction. Feels more like a Friday, but I'm sticking to it. And same with the 305/51%.
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Leisher
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Post by Leisher »

I predict chaos.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
TheCatt
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

So no one else making predictions? WEAKLINGS
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Leisher
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Post by Leisher »

TheCatt wrote: So no one else making predictions? WEAKLINGS
CHAOS!!!!!
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
GORDON
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Post by GORDON »

I predicted long ago a trump win, bigger margin than last time.

But i.prefer not four more years of anger and angst, so hoping for a biden win.
"Be bold, and mighty forces will come to your aid."
TheCatt
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

I locked in $20 on KS senate race, and switched it to TX.
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TheCatt
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

PredictIt, real-time markets, have Biden climbing a bit, Trump sagging a bit. Overall, and in NC, PA, and AZ.

Although, then I refresh, and NC is back to Trump, but basically 50/50
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TheCatt
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Post by TheCatt »

NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.
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TheCatt
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Post by TheCatt »

TheCatt wrote: NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.
Then back to 50-50.

Biden up to 66%, mostly mirroring what is happening in the PA market.
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TheCatt
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

TheCatt wrote:
TheCatt wrote: NC going wild in trading today. Biden currently at 54%, up from 46% this morning (cents are not quite equal to %s). NC win for Biden would be huge.
Then back to 50-50.

Biden up to 66%, mostly mirroring what is happening in the PA market.
The real-time markets broke. Stupid website.
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TheCatt
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Post by TheCatt »

Image

538's final prediction.

I disagree on - FL, NC and Georgia.

AZ + PA are the toss-ups.
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Post by Leisher »

TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia
NY TImes says they are all going red.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
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Troy
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Post by Troy »

Leisher wrote:
TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia
NY TImes says they are all going red.
Fox news is worried about NC and Ohio.
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Post by TheCatt »

Leisher wrote:
TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia
NY TImes says they are all going red.
I agree. Which means it's all about PA + AZ.
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DTMan 2020 Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

Troy wrote:
Leisher wrote:
TheCatt wrote: FL, NC and Georgia
NY TImes says they are all going red.
Fox news is worried about NC and Ohio.
That would be yuge.
It's not me, it's someone else.
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