Bad Economic Predictions

For stuff that is general.
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

If you haven't refi'd your mortgage lately, might want to take a look. The bond market is falling apart. The lender (SoFi) we used is already offering 2.5% for 15, 3.0% for 30 without points. At least, when I went through their pre-qualification that's what it said.

Rates may go lower still.
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GORDON
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by GORDON »

Finished my refi last week.
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Leisher
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by Leisher »

“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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10 year rates just went below 0.50%; 30 yr below 1.00%; S&P futures down 4%; Oil down to almost $30 as Russia + Saudi Arabia spark an oil war and OPEC cannot negotiate a production cut.

US + Canadian shale going to get hit HARD if prices don't recover.
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Post by GORDON »

Gas prices here in NW Ohio dipped under $2 for the first time in.... 8 years? last week. Lasted 2 days, then jumped up 30¢.
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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GORDON wrote: Lasted 2 days, then jumped up 30¢.
How odd given oil's decline YTD.
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Post by GORDON »

I always suspect collusion, but I have a suspicious mind.
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Gas prices have been overly stable for the past year, if that keeps up more than another month or two, super suspicious.
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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TheCatt wrote: 10 year rates just went below 0.50%; 30 yr below 1.00%; S&P futures down 4%; Oil down to almost $30 as Russia + Saudi Arabia spark an oil war and OPEC cannot negotiate a production cut.
Stocks ended up hitting the 7% circuit breaker (Stops trading for 15 minutes after a 7% decline). But, seem to be holding that level post-breaker.

Stocks are down 18% +/- since their all time high.
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Stock ended up a little further down. Already down 1% more after hours. I wonder where this all ends?
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Post by GORDON »

DEATH TO THE CAPITALISTS!
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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GORDON wrote: DEATH TO THE CAPITALISTS!
Well, there are no more Capitalists. Trump is floating a payroll tax cut AND making sure hourly workers get paid no matter what.
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Leisher
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Post by Leisher »

I was pondering a new tax idea. Could a tax cut for businesses be possible based upon how many people they employ. The key here being it would save the government all of most of the cost of that person being unemployed, while also being cost effective for businesses so it actually encourages hiring.

The point would be to encourage hiring instead of companies trying to run on skeleton crews. Make it so laying people off isn't necessarily a "go to" method of boosting quarterly/annual performance for stock gains.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

Payroll taxes are directly based on payroll. They’re a relatively easy way to do employment based tax cuts.
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

Image

Watching the headlines try to keep up with the stock market changes over the past 2 weeks has been fun.

Image

Image
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

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Stocks fell 7%, hit the circuit breakers. Good job, Trump.
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TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

TheCatt wrote: If you haven't refi'd your mortgage lately, might want to take a look. The bond market is falling apart. The lender (SoFi) we used is already offering 2.5% for 15, 3.0% for 30 without points. At least, when I went through their pre-qualification that's what it said.

Rates may go lower still.
Despite bonds still being depressed, mortgage rates have shot back up. One word is that there's simply too much demand for refinances, so theyve raised rates to slow things down.
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Leisher
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by Leisher »

TheCatt wrote: Stocks fell 7%, hit the circuit breakers. Good job, Trump.
I mean, not really his fault, BUT the asshole did say previously stock market crashes are the fault of the sitting president and "no excuses", so...
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
TheCatt
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Bad Economic Predictions

Post by TheCatt »

Leisher wrote:
TheCatt wrote: Stocks fell 7%, hit the circuit breakers. Good job, Trump.
I mean, not really his fault, BUT the asshole did say previously stock market crashes are the fault of the sitting president and "no excuses", so...
The markets were flat last nightvuntil dumbass spoke
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Leisher
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Post by Leisher »

Last night was absolutely his fault. I was saying the overall market dropping lately has not been all on him.

I do think he's done far more harm than not with the coronavirus hype.
“Every record been destroyed or falsified, books rewritten, pictures repainted, statues, street building renamed, every date altered. The process is continuing day by day. History stops. Nothing exists except endless present in which the Party is right.”
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