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Forum: General Stuff Topic: Election Prediction Thread started by: thibodeaux Posted by thibodeaux on Nov. 05 2012,15:24
It's coming down to the wire. Anybody want to lay out it there, for a chance at the everlasting glory of saying: "Told ya so?"
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 05 2012,15:27
Romney, landslide.
Posted by TPRJones on Nov. 05 2012,15:53
Too many variables. If I had to pick I'd say Obama by a thin margin. I expect to see Libertarians and Greens total up to above 5%, but neither one alone having enough to force their way into the process next round.
Posted by WSGrundy on Nov. 05 2012,16:27
Obama close but you know early that night. 8ish.
Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 05 2012,17:30
I'll go with "B-Rock" and "closer than the last one."
Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 05 2012,17:45
Obama by 50 electoral, 1.25M popular
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 05 2012,17:54
I already voted early in Ohio and sent in absentee ballots with forged utility bills in 3 other battleground states, so I know Obama is going to win.Oh wait Posted by Leisher on Nov. 05 2012,19:49
Things will be all Obama according to the MSM early on, and then the tide will begin to turn. Obama barely wins, but Romney wins popular vote. MSM will declare that the people have spoken, and they wanted four more years of Obama policies. Liberals will be unbearable for the next year. Hopefully, the Dems don't maintain control of Congress, and Obama will be a lame duck president. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,05:02
Line out the door when the polls opened in my small.community. lots of motivated country folk voting today.My polling place checks ID'S, then checks your name against two lists. Then annotates your ballot number against your name. I dont know what happens if you refuse to show id or you arent on the list. One woman in front of me.said she was already marked as having voted absentee, she said she hadnt. Dont know what became of it. Saw a couple hardcore hippie folk... white people with dreads and tiedye and shit.... never saw anything like them around here. Posted by WSGrundy on Nov. 06 2012,09:56
Yahoo poll on front page has 57% Mitt. A little shocked by that no matter how unscientific.
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,09:58
I stand by my landslide prediction.
Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,10:28
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,12:58) QUOTE I stand by my landslide prediction. Put money on it? $20? Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,10:31
Some hilarious YouTube videos are being posted showing voting machines "cheating". The one that's super hot on FB and twitter right now shows an Obama vote going to Romney. Folks are ignoring the fact that: 1. Such cheating wouldn't be blatant. 2. C-A-L-I-B-R-A-T-I-O-N 3. All the related videos are similar, but the votes aren't going to R&R. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,10:33
(TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,13:28) QUOTE (GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,12:58) QUOTE I stand by my landslide prediction. Put money on it? $20? I'll leave the blindly gamblng with my economic future to obama. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,11:11
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,12:33) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,13:28) QUOTE (GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,12:58) QUOTE I stand by my landslide prediction. Put money on it? $20? I'll leave the blindly gamblng with my economic future to obama. So, you're thinking he's going to win? Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,12:11
He's still there til January no matter what.
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,12:12
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,08:02) QUOTE One woman in front of me said she was already marked as having voted absentee, she said she hadnt. Dont know what became of it. Seems to be happening a lot. Fraud of choice this year? < here > edit - i can't get the link to work, keeps cutting a word in half. < http://ace.mu.nu/archives/334691.php > Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,12:36
Tell me again how I'm supposed to take voting in this country seriously?
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,12:38
You just need to hope people on your team are better at cheating than the people on their team, I guess.Howard Dean already has said, "The only way we lose this is by fraud." Way to poison the process, champ. < http://cnsnews.com/news....lection > Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,12:55
The more he talks, the more damage he does.
Posted by TPRJones on Nov. 06 2012,14:00
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,14:12) QUOTE edit - i can't get the link to work, keeps cutting a word in half. < http://dft.ba/-VotedTwice > Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,16:37
I thought FL was locked up for R.
Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,16:58
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,19:37) QUOTE I thought FL was locked up for R. Why did you think that? Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,17:03
Because someone told me it was.
Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,17:05
Oh. It's been leaning Obama for a while.
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,17:06
Welp. This is the era of "Oh I found a trunkload of ballots we forgot to count," and I already skew toward "Everybody cheats."So, still no faith in the process. Burn it all. Carry on. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,17:32
Ok, Dr. House.
Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,17:48
Honestly, I'm about at the point where I'm with him. The MSM has slammed Romney non-stop, then ignored all of Obama's gaffes. They ripped Bush for numbers that are better than the ones Obama has put up. During the last few elections the vast majority of vote fraud has been slanted towards Dems. Voter intimidation is occurring, and because it benefits Dems, the MSM yawns. Lots of voter fraud going on today, and the top story on MSM sites is the bullshit video of one machine changing an Obama vote to Romney. Pay no attention to the fact that it's probably calibrated wrong, and that other videos linked from that one show other machines doing the same thing, only not always taking from Obama to give to Romney. We've got millions of people in this country who suck off the government tit, yet somehow, we allow them to vote, and this isn't considered a conflict of interest. We go out of our way to allow illegals to vote, and allow Dem voters to cast multiple votes, and if you even hint that maybe folks should show ID, then you're a racist and worse than Hitler. By the way, the state of Michigan sent me a free voter ID card in the mail. How racist of them... Romney is currently leading by approx. 1,000,000 votes, but will likely lose the election. Dem voters who declared such a loss should be illegal three presidential elections ago will go on and on about how the popular vote doesn't matter. There are more people angry in this country than there are happy, and more of them are voting Romney. Just like William H. Macy in Boogie Nights, at some point enough is going to be enough. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:15
Nah. Much like the mythical vanishing point in geometry, the point where people smarten up is always just past the point where they fall for some new bullshit. There hasn't nearly been enough pain to warrant any real change yet. Give it a few decades.
Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,18:16
On the plus side, the House looks to stay in Republican control, so there won't be a repeat of the ridiculous spending from 2008.
Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,18:17
(Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:15) QUOTE Nah. Much like the mythical vanishing point in geometry, the point where people smarten up is always just past the point where they fall for some new bullshit. There hasn't nearly been enough pain to warrant any real change yet. Give it a few decades. Well, someone DID get fed up previously, and history has a funny way of repeating itself. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:18
Too many people getting free candy.
Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:22
Can you vote yourself the treasury when the government's broke?Apparently. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:24
Looking at the mac on msnbc, it is looking like whoever wins Fl, wins.Ohio looks to be a lock of Obama. Obama will get the entire west coast. FL puts Obama over 270, I believe. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:25
(Leisher @ Nov. 06 2012,20:17) QUOTE (Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:15) QUOTE Nah. Much like the mythical vanishing point in geometry, the point where people smarten up is always just past the point where they fall for some new bullshit. There hasn't nearly been enough pain to warrant any real change yet. Give it a few decades. Well, someone DID get fed up previously, and history has a funny way of repeating itself. Which particular someone? Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:26
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:24) QUOTE Looking at the mac on msnbc, it is looking like whoever wins Fl, wins. Fuck, no, not again. Can't we just sell that place to Cuba? Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,18:27
Let's drop the "Welfare recipients should take drug test" thing.I think people whose income is primarily from entitlements should lose their right to vote. Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:30
I'm calling FL for Obama.... election is now over.
Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:31
< Awesome >.
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:34
(TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,21:30) QUOTE I'm calling FL for Obama.... election is now over. Pan handle voters counted up? Central time zone and they skew R. Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:35
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,21:34) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,21:30) QUOTE I'm calling FL for Obama.... election is now over. Pan handle voters counted up? Central time zone and they skew R. I'll put $ on it. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:36
(Leisher @ Nov. 06 2012,20:27) QUOTE Let's drop the "Welfare recipients should take drug test" thing. I think people whose income is primarily from entitlements should lose their right to vote. Welfare recipients can do all the drugs they want, provided they're getting off welfare while doing it. QUOTE At least four of the fifteen post-Civil War constitutional amendments were ratified specifically to extend voting rights to different groups of citizens. These extensions state that voting rights cannot be denied or abridged based on the following: ... (For federal elections) "By reason of failure to pay any poll tax or other tax" - (24th Amendment, 1964) (For state elections) Taxes - (Harper v. Virginia Board of Elections, 383 U.S. 663 (1966)) I've never been to law school in my life, but even I could easily make the argument that electing not to get cash from entitlements in order to vote could be construed to constitute a form of taxation. You are effectively paying for the right to be able to vote in that case. Have fun amending the U.S. Constitution. Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,18:45
I think my prediction of Barry getting the electoral, and Mitt winning the popular vote is going to happen.
Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:46
(Leisher @ Nov. 06 2012,21:45) QUOTE I think my prediction of Barry getting the electoral, and Mitt winning the popular vote is going to happen. I will bet against that too Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:46
96% of all black voters voted for Obama.White people are fairly evenly split 50/50. This tells me that from now on, whichever party runs a black guy is going to win. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:46
(TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,21:46) QUOTE (Leisher @ Nov. 06 2012,21:45) QUOTE I think my prediction of Barry getting the electoral, and Mitt winning the popular vote is going to happen. I will bet against that too California is out there waiting to change all the numbers. Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,18:46
QUOTE Have fun amending the U.S. Constitution. WTF is that? Are talking about that old meaningless document that is being ignored every other minute by our president and his cronies? Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,18:47
QUOTE 96% of all black voters voted for Obama. White people are fairly evenly split 50/50. White people are racist. Black people are not. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:49
(Leisher @ Nov. 06 2012,21:46) QUOTE QUOTE Have fun amending the U.S. Constitution. WTF is that? Are talking about that old meaningless document that is being ignored every other minute by our president and his cronies? Whatever you do, don't pirate anything. Obama is setting the FBI around the world to arrest peeps, in order to pay back Hollywood for the contributions. < http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2012/10/ff-kim-dotcom/ > I'm almost glad that Ohio is going blue.... maybe we will be spared the wrath of his retribution... he is sure to be angered by the close race. Hail Obama! Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:49
(Leisher @ Nov. 06 2012,21:47) QUOTE QUOTE 96% of all black voters voted for Obama. White people are fairly evenly split 50/50. White people are racist. Black people are not. Bigots don't vote Democrat. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:50
And from now on, watch what you say about Him in this thread... He keeps Kill Lists. No one dares stop him.< http://www.nytimes.com/2012....ted=all > Hail Obama! Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:51
I forgot to capitalize the last Him! Oh shit!
Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:52
I wonder why Hawaiians even bother to vote in the presidential election.
Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:53
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:46) QUOTE 96% of all black voters voted for Obama. White people are fairly evenly split 50/50. This tells me that from now on, whichever party runs a black guy is going to win. Herman Cain. Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:53
No, because the MSM will tear any black conservative apart.
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:54
(Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:53) QUOTE (GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:46) QUOTE 96% of all black voters voted for Obama. White people are fairly evenly split 50/50. This tells me that from now on, whichever party runs a black guy is going to win. Herman Cain. He got assassinated hard long before anyone had a chance to vote for him. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:57
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:50) QUOTE And from now on, watch what you say about Him in this thread... He keeps Kill Lists. No one dares stop him. < http://www.nytimes.com/2012....ted=all > Hail Obama! QUOTE Nothing else in Mr. Obama’s first term has baffled liberal supporters and confounded conservative critics alike as his aggressive counterterrorism record. Huh? Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:58
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:54) QUOTE (Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:53) QUOTE (GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:46) QUOTE 96% of all black voters voted for Obama. White people are fairly evenly split 50/50. This tells me that from now on, whichever party runs a black guy is going to win. Herman Cain. He got assassinated hard long before anyone had a chance to vote for him. So, it's takes more than being black? Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,18:58
I'm serious, watch out. Now that he has his second term, he has a lot more flexibility to do wonderful things like domestic drone strikes on suspected terrorists on his Kill List.< http://www.slate.com/article....es.html > We will all be much safer! Avoid weddings... they are popular drone targets. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,18:59
(TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:53) QUOTE No, because the MSM will tear any black conservative apart. Colin Powell is technically a Republican. Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 06 2012,18:59
(Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:59) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:53) QUOTE No, because the MSM will tear any black conservative apart. Colin Powell is technically a Republican. No. Posted by Leisher on Nov. 06 2012,19:00
QUOTE Colin Powell is technically a Republican. And Nancy Pelosi is a card carrying Republican and NRA member. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,19:00
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:58) QUOTE I'm serious, watch out. Now that he has his second term, he has a lot more flexibility to do wonderful things like domestic drone strikes on suspected terrorists on his Kill List. < http://www.slate.com/article....es.html > We will all be much safer! Avoid weddings... they are popular drone targets. QUOTE Critics argue the drone strikes are an overextension of executive power, kill too many civilians, and breed more terrorism. Proponents, including Obama and Romney, say the drone strikes are necessary to prevent terrorism.
Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,19:01
(TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:59) QUOTE (Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:59) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:53) QUOTE No, because the MSM will tear any black conservative apart. Colin Powell is technically a Republican. No. So, the best strategy the pachyderms have for the forseeable future is "lay down and take it up the ass?" Sounds like it might be time to get a new party. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,19:02
(Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:59) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:53) QUOTE No, because the MSM will tear any black conservative apart. Colin Powell is technically a Republican. I don't remember seeing him on a ballot. But it is fine, because if there are too many drone strikes nearby one can just travel and be safe by the Obama-expanded powers of the TSA. < http://cutdc.com/2011....to-ndaa > Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,19:03
(Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,22:00) QUOTE (GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,20:58) QUOTE I'm serious, watch out. Now that he has his second term, he has a lot more flexibility to do wonderful things like domestic drone strikes on suspected terrorists on his Kill List. < http://www.slate.com/article....es.html > We will all be much safer! Avoid weddings... they are popular drone targets. QUOTE Critics argue the drone strikes are an overextension of executive power, kill too many civilians, and breed more terrorism. Proponents, including Obama and Romney, say the drone strikes are necessary to prevent terrorism. I don't recall Massachusetts launching a bunch of drones. Posted by GORDON on Nov. 06 2012,19:04
(Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,22:01) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:59) QUOTE (Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:59) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:53) QUOTE No, because the MSM will tear any black conservative apart. Colin Powell is technically a Republican. No. So, the best strategy the pachyderms have for the forseeable future is "lay down and take it up the ass?" Sounds like it might be time to get a new party. Burn it all. There is no stopping the downward spiral. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,22:29
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,21:03) QUOTE I don't recall Massachusetts launching a bunch of drones. That's more or less how I'd describe them, my fondness for Cheers notwithstanding. Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 06 2012,22:30
(GORDON @ Nov. 06 2012,21:02) QUOTE (Malcolm @ Nov. 06 2012,21:59) QUOTE (TheCatt @ Nov. 06 2012,20:53) QUOTE No, because the MSM will tear any black conservative apart. Colin Powell is technically a Republican. I don't remember seeing him on a ballot. But it is fine, because if there are too many drone strikes nearby one can just travel and be safe by the Obama-expanded powers of the TSA. < http://cutdc.com/2011....to-ndaa > That report's a year old. I knew back then he was for the TSA-Gestapo plus plus ideology. Posted by TheCatt on Nov. 07 2012,06:20
FB statuses I didnt post this morning:Americans and their stupid love affair with sequels. You know the second one's always worse, right? 12 years of shitty presidents, what's another 4? I've always wanted to go to Greece. Now, I don't even need to buy a ticket. I kept hoping today would be Election day, ala Groundhog Day. America would have to keep voting until they got it right. Posted by thibodeaux on Nov. 07 2012,06:25
So: who called it right?
Posted by Malcolm on Nov. 07 2012,07:20
G:QUOTE Romney, landslide. Nowhere close. TPR: QUOTE Too many variables. If I had to pick I'd say Obama by a thin margin. Ding. WSGrundy: QUOTE Obama close but you know early that night. 8ish. Ding. Malcolm: QUOTE I'll go with "B-Rock" and "closer than the last one." Ding. Catt: QUOTE Obama by 50 electoral, 1.25M popular A little bit conservative on the electoral margin, a bit thin on the popular but overall ... ding. Leish: QUOTE Obama barely wins, but Romney wins popular vote. Half credit. Posted by thibodeaux on Nov. 07 2012,07:47
Ain't we smart?
Posted by GORDON on Nov. 07 2012,10:46
I'll let James Lileks share the final thoughts in this thread:< http://lileks.com/bleats/archive/12/1112/110712.html > QUOTE Ending Election day in my hotel room after seven hours on the radio, ending it as I began: listening to the Jackie Gleason Orchestra on my iPod. Lovely schmaltz. Some thoughts in no particular order:
1. Election morning I woke up from a dream in which Romney lost, which bookended the mood I had went I sank into the comfort of the justly famed Westin bed. I went to bed convinced he would lose, a complete 180 from what I’d felt earlier. It just hit me around 11:23, looking at a cable show with some polls that had the President up everywhere, and I thought "you know, I've been seeing those polls for a long time now. Huh. There might be something to them." Coincident with that revelation I thought about a friend who’s pro-small business, pro-military, pro-religious freedom - of course! This is America! - and she will vote for Obama. She believes that the state should take more property from people who die with X amount of money in the bank and give it to other people, and while she’s not exactly sure about what X should be, this is necessary because of Fairness. That does seem to be the dominant idea in the land these days, no? The State shall have the power to do X if the objective is Fairness. The details - and the actual result - are less important. If you believe the State should do these things, why, it stands to reason that it can, and and hence any limitation of the powers of the State is a mulish obstruction of a better world. Good people do not vote against such things. She also believes, I think, in the following propositions: The severing of the concept of marriage from the traditional understanding of male-female-children is inconsequential, and that the definition, thus expanded, will hereafter suffer no additional challenges; Access to abortion is a prime metric for determining the worthiness of a society, but the details - quantity, sex-selection criteria, late-term instances - are relevant only inasmuch as they are cudgels used by those who would ban the procedure entirely, and hence they are a diversion.; The deficit can be solved by taxing other people; The financial industry was unregulated prior to 2009; Inflation is just a thing that happens, like weather; The State never forces you to do anything. It merely “asks.” The true coercive power in society today resides with corporations. --- 2. One of the tweets in my timeline: I’m so glad I was finishing up a golden shower just as Mitt conceded! Open up and say AAHHHH MITT [Note - mostly accurate transcription; did it from memory, since I saw it on my phone and it has since scrolled away] This was retweeted approvingly by someone who considers himself an intellectual. It’s not the triumphalism - everyone is entitled to that in these moments - it’s the crude, graceless vulgarity of those smart people who still believe it’s bold to shock the bourgeoise. They are the bourgeoise now, and their culture is not only as vapid as the old bourgeoise was supposed to be, it has the added benefit of being irredeemably juvenile and morally banal. They have their conventions, just like the old bourgeoise - except their conventions are nothing more than waving around the bones of the old culture they slew, like apes mimicking the gestures of an orchestra conductor. 3. Deviations from the songbook of the new bourgeoisie are easily explained: hatred of the melody, hatred of the words, and above all hatred of the singer. As another tweet said (The GOP) has no people of color, hate women & gays, atheists, muslims et al, who’s left? There is no way to penetrate the adamantine carapace of stupidity with such a person. His politics and his self-identification are dependent on the unshakable belief that the other side is motivated by fear and hatred. One could point out the internal inconsistencies in his assertion - there aren’t exactly legions of rainbow flags flying outside of mosques - but it wouldn’t matter; those groups are virtuous simply by being victims, inasmuch as we’ve all agreed that Wars are being fought against them all in various ways. Membership in any of these groups is the defining characteristic of one’s existence. The most thrilling expression of individuality consists of surrendering it to the definitions put forth by the group on your behalf. They’re quite dogmatic and remarkably specific: sexual identity, for example, naturally dictates your position on tax policy and foreign affairs. It’s all of a piece. 4. What were the issues? Promising free contraception certainly trumps long-term structural unemployment, and that put the GOP at a disadvantage. What else did they have? Foreign policy? No one cares about Israel. No one is concerned about Iran. It’s laughable to think Russian ambitions have any relevance to our lives, unless they try to take over Facebook or something. The Middle East? Benghazi was a muddle; any peculiarities in the story told to the American people was the result of a well-intentioned attempt to discern the facts through the fog of war; muscular assertion of American power is such a hallmark of the current administration that they surely would have acted if they thought it necessary; the jailing of a filmmaker for his role in the video was not troubling in the least, and his continued incarceration is a matter for the local authorities. These are all perfectly plausible, and the same considerations of these explanations would have been extended by the press to the Bush administration. Really, you have to believe that. Otherwise you have to suspect that the press may have been disinclined to go all Abu Graib on the matter because they found the matter inconvenient. Likewise, the government response to Hurricane Sandy was a masterpiece of can-do, take-charge action, with the Federal blade slicing through the thick ribbons of red tape. (Why would the red tape be there in the first place? Just curious.) When a tape of the president’s speech in, oh, 2007 or so surfaced, hectoring the government for not waiving rules for New Orleans after Katrina, I looked up the rules that were eventually given the Stafford exemption. They were substantial, and gave you an idea how many regulations wrap around the legs of the body politic like the Laccoon in the best of times. One of the edicts permitted the owners of private houses who rented to low-income people rent their property to people who were not technically low-income. Awfully big of them, isn’t it? A few nights ago I saw a news report on the people in outer boroughs left in peril by Sandy, people living in public housing. These were people who depended on the State for everything except emotional sustenance, and having been unmoored completely from any other institutions, were furious that assistance was not forthcoming. The camera lights illuminated a room full of women - four generations, the oldest being no more than 50. No men; no fathers. This is perfectly normal. This is beyond criticism, actually. But imagine four women freezing and hungry in a state flat bewildered at what might befall them, unable to conjure a remedy. Imagine how a program of active, concentrated malice could produce a worse result. But. I see the world through skewed eyes, I know. It strikes me from time to time that this is an exceptional nation, as flawed as any human endeavor, but unique in human history: a society whose foundational concepts are not rooted in blood or clan, or impossibly airy proclamations of transnational brotherhood and human rights granted by, and subject to revision by, a council of our betters who regard the governance of man as a blade that scrapes everyone level. Rather, we were devoted to something rare in human history: liberty. (I use the past tense because the word’s been replaced by Freedom, which has come to mean The Fun Things, and also means freedom from being judged for any reason.) Because I am blinded by this false light I fail to see the rot and filth in the marrow of the American bones, how it’s mostly always been bad until a few years from now, and how perilously close we just came to letting Robber Barons waddle out of their gilded carriages on their gouty limbs, stagger to the gutter, and pee a stream of petroleum on the orphans who sit on the curb with upstretched palms. We were so close to going back to that. What did the President say in the debate? He believed that Romney wanted to take us back to the economic policies of the 20s, the social policy of the 50s, and the foreign policy of the 80s. All these being bad. (Note: the systemic racism of the 50s - enforced by the State, of course - was an aspect of society so grotesque that it must taint any salutory aspects of the era. Nothing about the 50s was any good, except for some hamburger stands and the rise of youth culture. Otherwise, a swamp of murk and oppression.) Well, now I’m just tipping into lazy bitchery, I guess. Hold on, a few tweets coming in: one does a victory dance over the defeat of a Black female Mormon; proof that tolerance and inclusion is the order of the day, I guess. Another from Howard Fineman: “All in all an amazing night for Dems in New America.” To which the retweeter appended: what was wrong with the old America? Everything, don’t you know. Everything. If Old America had one job, it was this: to get us to the point where we could reject it. As the banner said: Mission Accomplished! |